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#GeoPol

3 posts2 participants0 posts today

"For the Trump administration, the catalyst for the buildup is the matured state of Iran’s nuclear program, which, by most accounts, could break out into a nuclear weapons program at any moment if Tehran were to decide to go that route."

Well, shit. If only there was some sort of joint agreement that would have prevented them from getting to this point, perhaps in exchange for sanctions relief. I guess we'll never know if such a thing could be possible. #geopol #uspol

twz.com/air/is-the-u-s-about-t

The War Zone · Is The U.S. About To Go To War With Iran?The U.S. is pouring military assets into the Middle East as Trump's deadline for Iran to come to negotiation table fast approaches.

Ex-Costa Rica president says US visa revoked after criticism of Trump

"Former Costa Rican president and Nobel winner Óscar Arias said on Tuesday that the US had revoked his visa to enter the country, weeks after he criticized Donald Trump on social media saying he was behaving like “a Roman emperor”".

"His statements came after the US withdrew visas from three Costa Rican lawmakers who opposed Chaves’s decision to exclude Chinese firms from participating in the development of 5G in the country, following US demands. On Tuesday, another opposition lawmaker was also stripped of her US visa"

theguardian.com/us-news/2025/a

A number of my friends and acquaintances are dawning to the realisation that the world will not be going back to how it was a few months ago.
We are in a seismic shift in alignments: economically, geopolitically, and militarily.

The US is hurtling in a new direction and is proving once again, that it is not a reliable partner.

Continued thread

#GeoPol #China #Thailand #US #HumanRights #Uyghurs

(5/5)

... arguing that the deportees will almost certainly face persecution, arbitrary detention, or worse under the Chinese government.

"The deportations come at a time when #Beijing has been actively seeking to deepen its ties with #Bangkok, particularly over the vast cyberscam industry that has infected most of Thailand's neighbors."

//

Do read the excellent article for free:

dw.com/en/thailands-uyghur-dep

Police enter an immigration detention centre in Bangkok on January 22, 2025
Deutsche Welle · Thailand's Uyghur deportations: Balancing China and the WestBy David Hutt
Continued thread

#GeoPol #China #Thailand #US #HumanRights #Uyghurs

(4/n)

... #PaetongtarnShinawatra — economic growth. "Right now, that is more likely with China than that of the #UnitedStates,"..."

"... a #Thai analyst and columnist, told DW. "#Thailand is playing its usual balancing act and, in this case, it is simply prioritizing immediate interests."

The United States and several human rights organizations had spent months warning against such a move,...

Continued thread

#GeoPol #China #Thailand #US #HumanRights #Uyghurs

(3/n)

... think tank, this case marked an 👉 "inflection point" in #Thailand's geostrategic balancing."👈

"Thailand now is an open pawn in the US-China conflict," he told DW. "👉The big geostrategic danger is that the #Thai elite facing #US sanctions now move ever closer into China's orbit and compromise Thailand's once-famous balancing act."👈

"Instead, it is thinking about the one thing that matters most to #Thai Prime Minister...

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#GeoPol #China #Thailand #US #HumanRights #Uyghurs

(2/n)

... global audience sees on a daily basis that decades old military (#NATO) and economic allies (#Canada/ #Mecico) are left hanging in the cold from one day to another. The arcane and insane #Mercantilist trade policies with aggressive, crippling #tariffs will lead to less trade with the #US.

Via #DavidHutt @dw_innovation

"For #ThitinanPongsudhirak, a senior fellow at the #InstituteOfSecurityAndInternationalStudies, a...

@dw_innovation

#GeoPol #China #Thailand #US #HumanRights #Uyghurs

(1/n)

*"#Thai authorities deported a group of 40 #Uyghur men to #China last month"..."the hell those 40 #Uyghurs will face back in #Xinjiang"*
The last time #Bangkok did this was in 2015.

👉It is possible to see this as a precursor to the #US' waning geopolitical influence, as the disastrous #Trumpean #Foreign, #Economic, and #Security policies of the #AmericaFirst.👈 The...

dw.com/en/thailands-uyghur-dep

Police enter an immigration detention centre in Bangkok on January 22, 2025
Deutsche Welle · Thailand's Uyghur deportations: Balancing China and the WestBy David Hutt

The family group/tribe is built on mutual support, but the modern conservative version is transactional, based on membership and loyalty. Actions that look like kindness are in reality actions to reinforce tribal loyalty. I think this is why so many people in conservative communties, who are trapped in entirely conservative information spaces, have a hard time breaking free. They see examples of community support as affirmations of their community goodness, and this narrative is drummed into them constantly. Conservative leaders have the advantage of labeling any disruptive people or ideas as 'foreign' and a threat, even if from within the community, so that they never even have to engage with new ideas on merit.

Kindness isnt a relevant trait to their tribal functioning, because the ability to be unkind and cruel to people who arent toeing the tribal line is necessary to upholding 'family law'. Kindness in others undermines their attempts to police peoples behavior (this is why its so important that men are in charge). Therefore, not only is kindness devalued, it is actively persecuted as a threat to conservative values. And that is only treatment of your in-group. If you reject kindness internally, imagine how easy it is to subject an out-group to cruel inhumanity. You can literally justify anything. What is horrifying is the degree to which everyday members of conservative communities have become willfully blind to the terrible treatment of others in order to hang on to an image of community goodness. I have witnessed far too much of this in my life.

Its worth stating that the left has its own, different kind of tribalism. They embrace kindness but there is a lot of pressure to prove the right kind of worth. It has a distinctly multicultural, anti-authoritarian tribalism, where the rules of the tribe are under constant negotiation. This makes communicating a platform challenging. Its a lot simpler for conservative platforms whose rules come from demagogues and an old book.

The flaw of designing a system without compassion is that the cruelty eventually becomes impossible to hide from the tribe, and the cruelty comes for everyone. #uspol #politics #disability #sociology #anthropology #kindness #geopol

@ManyRoads visuals are great, would be nice to see hectares called out and critical minerals plotted for a better reflection of the state of global affairs. Can't keep doing "business" with the Reds until they've been given a swift introduction to the broadside of a 2 x 4. The US will be too busy "infighting" for at least the next 4 years to be of any real service to anyone else. The 50 US States are not properly represented in that map. There's Red, Blue & Purple. #GeoPol