@vor @grumble209 @GutterPoetry @todymotmot @wendinoakland @profdc9 @zakalwe
but note:
https://www.npr.org/2024/06/05/nx-s1-4969563/ranked-choice-voting-bans
"Five states have banned #rankedChoiceVoting in the last two months, bringing the total number of #Republican-leaning states now prohibiting the voting method to 10"
we want 3rd parties
we want to vote our conscience rather than endless dreary strategy
we want #RCV
which we get how
by voting #democrat, and pushing them on the issue
rather than doing nothing but whining
Introduced in House
![So, are these differences in outcomes just the result of random chance? One would think so. But the application of universally accepted statistical methodology says otherwise.
The last five recessions all started while a Republican was in the White House (Reagan. G.H.W. Bush, G.W. Bush twice, and Trump). Readers can check out the chronology for themselves. The odds of getting that outcome by chance, if the true probability of a recession starting during a Democrat’s presidency were equal to that during a Republican’s presidency, would be (1/2)(1/2)(1/2)(1/2)(1/2), i.e., one out of 32 = 3.1%. Very unlikely. The same as the odds of getting “heads” on five out of five consecutive coin-flips. Such a rejection of equality is said to be “statistically significant at the 95% level of confidence.”
What if we go back further? A remarkable 9 of the last 10 recessions have started when a Republican was president. The odds that this outcome would have occurred just by chance are even more remote: one out of 100. [That is, 10/210 = 0.0098.]](https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/337/207/182/112/230/original/700c65af36af4676.png "So, are these differences in outcomes just the result of random chance? One would think so. But the application of universally accepted statistical methodology says otherwise.
The last five recessions all started while a Republican was in the White House (Reagan. G.H.W. Bush, G.W. Bush twice, and Trump). Readers can check out the chronology for themselves. The odds of getting that outcome by chance, if the true probability of a recession starting during a Democrat’s presidency were equal to that during a Republican’s presidency, would be (1/2)(1/2)(1/2)(1/2)(1/2), i.e., one out of 32 = 3.1%. Very unlikely. The same as the odds of getting “heads” on five out of five consecutive coin-flips. Such a rejection of equality is said to be “statistically significant at the 95% level of confidence.”
What if we go back further? A remarkable 9 of the last 10 recessions have started when a Republican was president. The odds that this outcome would have occurred just by chance are even more remote: one out of 100. [That is, 10/210 = 0.0098.]")
